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NCAA..@!! Kansas vs Baylor Live Stream NCAA College Football Week 4 WatcH Online TV
September 26 at 8:00 am – 5:00 pm EDT
It what has been nothing short of an out of the ordinary college football season, the Baylor Bears have yet to kick off their 2020 campaign.
That changes Saturday in Waco.
Baylor will play host to head coach Les Mies and his Kansas Jayhawks. Kansas started its season — albeit on the wrong foot — two weeks ago against Coastal Carolina. As a result of a poor performance on all fronts in that game, the Jayhawks head into this meeting with Baylor at 0-1.
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This will be the head coaching debut for Baylor’s Dave Aranda. He’s coming off a national championship as the defensive coordinator at LSU, and he’ll look to improve that side of the ball for the Bears in a conference where defense is often jokingly referred to as “optional.”
Kansas at Baylor
Kickoff: Saturday, Sept. 26 at 7:30 p.m. ET
Spread: Baylor -17.5
When Kansas Has the Ball
At this point, the Jayhawks just need something to get excited about and rally behind. They were average moving the ball against an FCS opponent in the opener. A similar effort against a Dave Aranda-coached defense comprised of Power 5 athletes won’t be pretty. Ideally, Kansas wants to shorten the game and limit the damage Baylor can do on the other side of the ball. That starts by establishing the run, so you’ll likely see a healthy dose of Velton Gardner and Pooka Williams — who combined for 148 rushing yards vs. Coastal Carolina — until the Bears prove they can stop the run consistently.
When Baylor Has the Ball
Charlie Brewer is on the brink of becoming the most prolific passer in Baylor history this season. This is his offense, and a lot of people are expecting a big year from the senior signal-caller. Opening against a Kansas defense that gave up three scores through the air to an FCS team certainly shouldn’t hurt Brewer. Look for Baylor to try to jump out to an early lead in an effort to get Brewer and the rest of the starters safely on the sideline and give the backups much-needed reps in what will be a strange season. Wide receiver Josh Fleeks is Brewer’s most trusted returning target from a season ago, so he’ll likely be a big part of the game plan. You’ll also likely see multiple running backs get carries when the Bears run. Trestan Ebner, John Lovett, and Qualan Jones should all log touches.
Anything but a sound win for Baylor is going to be an upset result in this one. Expect to see a well-coached Dave Aranda defense put on a clinic against an inferior Kansas offensive attack that will likely be playing from behind all day. It’s going to be hard for Kansas to consistently stop Baylor from moving the ball and scoring. We think we know what Kansas is, but I’m not sure how much more we’ll learn about Baylor on Saturday, unless Kansas can shock the world.
Prediction: Baylor 48, Kansas 6
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What you need to know about Baylor
The Bears have one of the Big 12’s best quarterbacks in Charlie Brewer. The senior has thrown for over 3,000 yards in back-to-back seasons. The 2019 campaign was his best overall as he completed 64.5 percent of passes for 3,161 yards, 21 touchdowns and just seven interceptions. Tyquan Thornton is his top target at receiver and running back John Lovett also brings plenty of big-play capability to the Baylor offense.
Dave Aranda takes over as head coach for Matt Rhule, who departed for the Carolina Panthers. Aranda is best known for building elite defenses at Wisconsin and LSU, and he’ll look to improve a defense that was already impressive in 2019, giving up fewer than 20 points per game.
What you need to know about Kansas
The Jayhawks made some small steps in Les Miles’ first year in 2019, going 3-9 and picking up a Big 12 win over Texas Tech. But 2020 got off to a rough start as Coastal Carolina rolled to a 28-0 lead and then held on for the 38-23 win over the Jayhawks two weeks ago. Kansas was extremely sloppy, turning the ball over three times in the loss.
One bright spot, however, was the run game. Kansas ran for 178 yards as running backs Velton Gardner and Pooka Williams combined for 23 carries, 148 yards and a score. They’ll need to find success on the ground again on Sunday to give them a shot to keep it within the number in this Big 12 opener.
How to make Baylor vs. Kansas picks
SportsLine’s model has simulated Baylor vs. Kansas 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning under on the total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.